The Permutations: When Will Bolton be Relegated?

  • April 15, 2019 | By Chris Mann
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With only four games of the Championship season remaining, it has become a case of when - not if - Bolton Wanderers will be relegated.

Since dropping into the relegation zone following a home defeat at the hands of Swansea City on November 10, 2018, Wanderers have occupied a place in the bottom three for all but three days - briefly moving up to 21st following a goalless draw with Stoke City on December 29, 2018, before a 6-0 thumping at Hull City on New Year's Day saw them fall back into trouble.

With 32 points to their name, the Trotters are 10 from safety - with Wigan Athletic and Millwall currently occupying 20th and 21st places, respectively, with a return of 42 points.

Due to the two clubs meeting at the DW Stadium on the final day, at least one is guaranteed to end the campaign with a minimum of 43 points, meaning Bolton will have to win all four of their remaining fixtures to even stand a chance of avoiding the drop into League One.

Sure, Reading are presently 12 points above Bolton in the league standings but a vastly inferior goal difference means Wanderers would somehow have to achieve a 27-goal swing.

Phil Parkinson's side are next in action on Good Friday, when they step out at the University of Bolton Stadium against an Aston Villa outfit who could make it nine consecutive league victories - equalling a club record set between October and December 1910.

Again, if has become a question of when - not if - Bolton will be relegated. Here, we take a look at every permutation for Friday's clash and analyse how Wanderers can continue to fight the inevitable.

Bolton Wanderers v Aston Villa - Permutations

Bolton Wanderers Win
SAFE - Unless Millwall and Wigan Athletic both win AND Reading avoid defeat

Unless Millwall and Wigan Athletic both avoid defeat OR either avoid defeat and Rotherham United win

Aston Villa Win

Should Bolton's quest to remain in the Championship continue beyond Good Friday, a follow-up for their Easter Monday derby at Blackburn Rovers will follow.

Football betting site Betway

Sky Bet League One Standings

Pos Team Pld Pts
19 AFC Wimbledon 19 17
20 Tranmere Rovers 18 17
21 Milton Keynes Dons 19 14
22 Southend United 20 6
23 Bolton Wanderers 16 2
View Full Standings >>


Who is Bolton's 2018/19 Player of the Year?
34.62% Gary O'Neil
19.38% David Wheater
18.92% Pawel Olkowski
9.27% Joe Williams
5.33% Jason Lowe
4.13% Sammy Ameobi
2.85% Josh Magennis
2.75% Mark Beevers
1.19% Jack Hobbs
1.01% Ben Alnwick
0.28% Andrew Taylor
0.28% Craig Noone